GLOSSARY // Market Structure
Bull Market
A bull market is a sustained period of rising prices, most often defined as a broad index climbing 20% or more from its low without a comparable reversal. It reflects optimism about earnings, the economy, or both, and it feeds on itself: rising prices draw in more buyers, which pushes prices higher still.
Bull markets are the default state of US equities over long horizons. The S&P 500's bull runs have averaged multiple years and hundreds of percent in cumulative gains, which is why buy-and-hold investors are effectively betting that the next bull phase outlasts the next bear phase. The risk is complacency: the longer a bull market runs, the more investors extrapolate it forward as normal rather than as one phase of a cycle.
The S&P 500 bottoms at 3,500 during a downturn, then climbs to 4,200 over the next year, a 20% gain that officially marks a new bull market. It keeps climbing to 5,600 over the following two years before the next real pullback, a cumulative 60% run from the low.
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Educational only — not financial advice. Definitions simplified for clarity; markets are messier than definitions.